Experts Rubbish New Zealands Covid 19 Figures, Community Transmission Likely to be 28% of Cases not 4%

Epidemiologists at the University of Auckland and Otago University have stated that the Covid 19 figures being given out by the MOH are “meaningless” and “uninterpretable”.

They have rubbished comments by the Prime minister and the lockdown rule breaching Minister of Health inferring we have ‘beaten the virus’ and “stopped community transmission”. Professor Gorman of the University of Auckland School of Medicine has said the real rate of community transmission from known cases is likely to be at least 28%, not 4% as claimed by the MOH and Prime minister.  The experts have also strongly criticised our testing methods, saying what they needed to do weeks ago they have not even started to do as yet.

When we look at how the community transmission figures are calculated by the MOH, it is no wonder experts are calling them out as nonsense.  Currently only the first person who catches Covid 19 from an unknown source is considered to be community transmission, so if they spread it to four others, who each spread it to another four, and so on – only the first person will be considered community transmission.  Following that principal, the World figures would be showing as six times lower for community transmission than what is being reported by all health agencies Worlwide!

As has been stated on Kiwinews.org.nz in the past, Level Three will show whether we have been very lucky and do not end up with a health disaster, or it will end in hundreds of deaths as the virus is spread around.  Going from almost everyone’s observations this week, the rules around social distancing and not gathering in groups are not being followed by at least 90% of the community, which means if the virus is out there, even in small numbers – potentially we are headed for catastrophe, all while the Prime minister smiles, jokes, and pats herself on the back.

NOTE:  Stats and quotes mostly taken from a report on MSN News here.